Wicked’ssuccess at the Academy Awards seems more likely after theScreen Actors Guild Awards nominations. The story ofWickedfollows Elphaba and Glinda, who will become known as The Wicked Witch of the West and The Good Witch of the North, respectively, as students at Shiz University in the world of Oz. The movie is based on the critically-acclaimed Broadway musical of the same name and the 1995 novelWicked: The Life and Times of the Wicked Witch of the West. Ever since its release,reviews forWickedhave been exceptional, prompting the movie to get major awards buzz.

Thecast ofWickedincludes Cynthia Erivo, Ariana Grande, Jonathan Bailey, Michelle Yeoh, and Jeff Goldblum. Recently,Wickedwon the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the Golden Globes, which is the first major ceremony of awards season. Now,Wickedhas been nominated for five categories at the upcoming Screen Actors Guild Awards, which will be held on July 04, 2025.Wickedbeing nominated for five categories at the SAG Awards has boosted its chances of winning Best Picture at the Academy Awards.

Anora, Emilia Perez, Gladiator II and Dune 2 with Oscar statues

Wicked’s 5 SAG Awards Nominations Are Unusual

Wicked Has Been A Standout During Awards Season

Erivo was nominated for the Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role award, while Grande and Bailey were both nominated for Supporting Role awards. Additionally,Wicked’sensemble cast was nominated for the Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture award, and the stunt team was also nominated for an award.Wickedbeing nominated for five categories is extremely impressive and very rare. In addition toWicked,only five other movies have received five nominations at the SAG Awards.

Shakespeare in Love (1998)

Wicked - Poster

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The other five movies that were nominated for five awards at the SAG Awards areShakespeare in Love,Chicago,Doubt,The Banshees of Inisherin, andEverything Everywhere All at Once. While two movies were nominated for five SAG Awards in 2023, this statistic proves that it is not common for a film to be nominated under this many categories at the SAG Awards. Therefore,Wickedbeing nominated for five SAG Awards has given it a lot of momentum as awards season continues.

History Gives Wicked A Good Chance Of Winning Best Picture Now

Wicked’s Best Picture Chances Have Risen After The SAG Nominations

After the SAG Award nominations,Wickedhas an even better chance at winning Best Picture at the Academy Awards. As seen in the above table, out of the aforementioned five movies, three of them went on to win Best Picture at the Oscars.Shakespeare in Love,Chicago, andEverything Everywhere All at Oncetook home the top prize at the Academy Awards, which meansWickedhas a very strong chance of also winning Best Picture.

It is not common for musicals to win Best Picture, but it is undeniable thatWickedhas a lot of momentum as the 2025 Academy Awards ceremony nears.

It is also worth nothing thatBanshees of InisherinandEverything Everywhere All at Oncewere nominated in the same year. Therefore, obviously, only one of the films could have won Best Picture. Additionally,WickedandChicagoalso have a connection in this group since they are both musicals.Chicagowas actually the last musical to win Best Picture. It is not common for musicals to win Best Picture, but it is undeniable thatWickedhas a lot of momentum as the 2025 Academy Awards ceremony nears.

What Stands In The Way Of Wicked At The 2025 Oscars?

Wicked Has Tough Competition For The Best Picture Oscar

In addition toWicked, there are also several other highly-rated 2024 movies that could prevent the musical from winning Best Picture. Currently,the favorites to win Best Picture at the 2025 Academy Awards seem to beAnora,Conclave,Emilia Pérez, andThe Brutalist.The Brutalistwon the Best Motion Picture - Drama award at the Golden Globes, which has historically led to a Best Picture win for many movies in previous years. However,The Brutalistwas only nominated for one SAG Award, which is not ideal for a Best Picture winner.

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Additionally,Emilia PérezbeatWickedto win the Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy award at the Golden Globes.Emilia Pérezwas nominated for three SAG Awards, and its Golden Globes success would suggest that it will receive more votes thanWickedto win Best Picture. However, things can change quickly during awards season. The results of the SAG Awards will make it more clear whetherWickedhas a strong chance of finding success at the Academy Awards.

Wicked

Cast

Wicked adapts the Broadway musical into a two-part film, following the unlikely friendship between Elphaba, born with green skin, and Glinda, a popular aristocrat, in the Land of Oz. As they navigate their contrasting paths, they evolve into Glinda the Good and the Wicked Witch of the West.